Hong Kong FC vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
6º
6º
31
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
HON
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
BIU
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 1
HON
15%
18%
67%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
WTP
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
KFC
15%
20%
64%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 2
BIU
53%
21%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BIU
1 - 0
SDI
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SDI
0 - 5
KFC
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 0
RES
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 3
SDI
11%
20%
69%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |