Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
9º
8º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HON
0 - 5
SDI
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RES
1 - 3
HON
24%
21%
55%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NDT
2 - 2
HON
32%
23%
45%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HON
4 - 1
RES
65%
19%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
BIU
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KFC
6 - 0
HKU
76%
15%
8%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BIU
0 - 1
KFC
22%
23%
56%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 1
EAS
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
LCS
0 - 2
KFC
51%
21%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 1
RES
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |