Hønefoss vs Strømmen IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
12º
6º
30
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 48 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 41 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 22 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 21 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 20 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 17 |
14º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 49% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LEV
4 - 0
HON
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
HON
4 - 2
RFK
74%
16%
11%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
HON
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HON
3 - 1
ALT
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
EID
2 - 1
HON
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Strømmen IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
STR
5 - 0
ASK
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
KJE
1 - 2
STR
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
STR
1 - 0
TRO
37%
25%
39%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 2
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
STB
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |