Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
VID
1 - 1
HNP
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
HNP
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 3
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 4
HNP
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
RES
1 - 0
HNP
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
RES
4 - 0
PLA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
RES
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
RES
0 - 0
VID
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
RES
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
RES
1 - 0
HNP
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |