Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VID
4 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
2 - 3
JAG
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 0
HNP
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
RES
5 - 0
HNP
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
RES
3 - 2
PLA
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
RES
0 - 3
VID
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
RES
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
RES
5 - 0
HNP
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 0
RES
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |