Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
HNP
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HNP
2 - 1
RSO
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VID
2 - 1
HNP
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
HNP
38%
26%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RES
1 - 2
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VID
1 - 1
RES
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RES
2 - 0
JUT
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RES
2 - 2
MOT
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 0
RES
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |