Honduras Progreso vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RES
3 - 0
HNP
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 0
RDM
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 1
RSO
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 0
HNP
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 2
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
VID
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
RES
2 - 4
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 1
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 2
PLA
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |