H. Nieves vs Racing San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 1
HON
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
HON
4 - 1
DOL
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 0
HON
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HON
0 - 1
BAH
30%
22%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MON
4 - 0
HON
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 1
RAF
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 0
RAC
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 3
BIG
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ATH
2 - 2
RAC
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 1
ALT
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |