Holyhead Hotspur vs Lex XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
HOL
0 - 4
LLA
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 2
RTW
59%
21%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CAE
0 - 3
HOL
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LLA
4 - 1
HOL
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 1
HOL
42%
24%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 2
BUC
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
FLI
1 - 0
LEX
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 1
HOL
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 1
LEX
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 3
BFC
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |