Holstein Kiel vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.4%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
0.8%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
0.1%
+1
1.3%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.4%
92.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
16.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
21%
0-4
13.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
16.2%
0-5
8.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
10.1%
0-6
4.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
5.3%
0-7
2.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
2.4%
0-8
0.9%
1-9
0.1%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
STP
1 - 1
HOL
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
OSN
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SVS
0 - 2
HOL
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 0
FCN
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SSV
2 - 3
HOL
31%
24%
46%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
MON
3 - 2
BYM
6%
11%
84%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 2
M05
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 2
BYM
10%
14%
76%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
BYM
2 - 1
WOL
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
BYM
3%
7%
90%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |