Holland Park Hawks vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holland Park Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 4
HPH
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
HPH
8 - 1
NPI
62%
18%
20%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
HPH
2 - 2
EAS
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HPH
0 - 3
MIT
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HPH
5 - 0
IPS
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 0
IPS
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
LOG
19%
19%
63%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LOG
4 - 1
CAP
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
4 - 3
LOG
62%
18%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
3 - 1
CAP
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |