Holland Park Hawks vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holland Park Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
4 - 3
HPH
36%
22%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
HPH
2 - 2
PEN
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 6
HPH
47%
21%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
HPH
1 - 2
QUE
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 0
HPH
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 0
ROC
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 3
LOG
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
LOG
6 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
IPS
2 - 2
LOG
36%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 1
EAS
39%
22%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |