HNK Sibenik vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
IMO
0 - 1
HNS
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
HNS
0 - 2
SLA
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HNS
0 - 0
HNG
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZAG
2 - 1
HNS
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HNS
0 - 1
HNK
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 0
HDR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NKR
2 - 0
LUK
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 0
RUD
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SEG
0 - 3
LUK
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
LUK
3 - 0
NKD
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |