HNK Sibenik vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 0
HNS
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HKS
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 1
HNS
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 2
DZG
14%
23%
64%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
OSI
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
DZG
29%
25%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNG
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
IST
67%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
HNG
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |