Jadran KS vs Val Kaštel Stari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran KS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NER
0 - 0
HJK
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HJK
2 - 2
HRV
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 0
HJK
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
HJK
1 - 0
NKC
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
OMI
3 - 1
HJK
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Val Kaštel Stari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
JAD
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ZMA
4 - 1
VAL
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
PRB
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
NKR
3 - 3
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
USK
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |