Jadran KS vs Val Kaštel Stari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran KS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
NKD
4 - 0
HJK
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HJK
0 - 0
NER
54%
22%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NKC
2 - 1
HJK
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HJK
3 - 3
NKR
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NER
3 - 0
HJK
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Val Kaštel Stari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
SPL
5 - 0
VAL
79%
14%
6%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
NKD
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NER
1 - 0
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 1
NKC
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NKR
3 - 2
VAL
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |