Jadran KS vs Neretva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran KS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
JAD
3 - 2
HJK
58%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
HJK
2 - 1
MAK
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
OMI
1 - 1
HJK
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HJK
1 - 4
PRI
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ZAG
1 - 0
HJK
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NER
0 - 1
NER
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NKD
0 - 0
NER
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
NER
3 - 0
GOS
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PRB
2 - 0
NER
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
NER
2 - 1
HRV
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |