HNK Gorica vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SUH
0 - 2
HNG
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HNG
3 - 1
RUD
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
IMO
1 - 0
HNG
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HNG
2 - 0
VIN
64%
23%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SOL
2 - 0
HNG
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VUK
0 - 1
POM
22%
27%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SUH
3 - 1
VUK
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VUK
0 - 2
JUN
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RUD
1 - 2
VUK
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
VUK
3 - 0
NKC
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |