HNK Cibalia vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LUK
2 - 0
HNK
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
HNK
4 - 2
NKD
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
POM
0 - 0
HNK
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HNK
1 - 0
RUD
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SOL
4 - 0
HNK
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ZAD
0 - 1
SPL
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RIJ
3 - 0
ZAD
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OSI
0 - 0
ZAD
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ZAD
0 - 0
DZG
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
SEG
0 - 2
ZAD
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |