HNK Cibalia vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
IMO
1 - 3
HNK
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HNK
2 - 2
HNG
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ZAG
1 - 1
HNK
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
INT
0 - 0
HNK
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NKD
1 - 0
HNK
29%
28%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LUK
1 - 0
ZAD
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HNS
2 - 0
LUK
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 0
HDR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NKR
2 - 0
LUK
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 0
RUD
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |