HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
11º
4º
33
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 40 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 23 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
HJK
5 - 0
NSI
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
NSI
4 - 0
HJK
21%
21%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
0 - 2
HJK
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
HJK
2 - 3
FFJ
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
KUO
3 - 0
HJK
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Turku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
KOO
2 - 2
INT
27%
26%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
INT
3 - 1
FFJ
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
HAK
0 - 1
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
INT
0 - 0
IFK
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
GNI
2 - 2
INT
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |