Hibernian FC vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
HIB
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 0
HIB
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 1
HIB
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
HIB
1 - 3
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
MHE
2 - 1
HIB
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 0
DUN
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 1
HIB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
MHE
2 - 1
DUN
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
HIB
1 - 3
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 3
GLA
32%
25%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |