Heybridge Swifts vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
HAR
5 - 0
HEY
39%
25%
35%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 0
HEY
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
HEY
1 - 2
CHM
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HEN
1 - 1
HEY
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
HEY
1 - 0
HAR
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
WEA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
WEA
1 - 1
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
WEA
1 - 3
ASH
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 5
WEA
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
WEA
3 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |