Heybridge Swifts vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SOH
3 - 1
HEY
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
DER
1 - 3
HEY
11%
17%
71%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HEY
1 - 0
BOW
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CTF
0 - 1
HEY
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
HEY
1 - 1
MAL
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
YEL
4 - 3
TIL
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BOW
3 - 0
YEL
70%
17%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
YEL
0 - 2
AVE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BUR
2 - 3
YEL
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
YEL
3 - 1
MIL
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |