Hertha Wiesbach vs Ahrweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
3º
25
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
44 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 10 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 9 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 8 |
10º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 7 |
11º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Wiesbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SGM
0 - 4
HWI
13%
16%
71%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AWA
3 - 0
HWI
25%
21%
55%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HWI
4 - 0
EIS
74%
14%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PFE
0 - 0
HWI
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HWI
2 - 0
SCK
87%
9%
5%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ahrweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
2 - 3
ARL
8%
13%
79%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
2 - 2
JAG
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ELV
3 - 1
ABC
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
0 - 0
MOR
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DUD
0 - 0
ABC
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |