Herrera vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
CDU
21%
22%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BUJ
1 - 1
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CFV
5 - 1
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ATC
1 - 1
CDU
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 4
ATC
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ATC
3 - 0
FUE
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CDM
0 - 1
ATC
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ATC
1 - 2
UDM
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |