Hermann Aichinger vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
CAM
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
TUB
0 - 1
HER
28%
24%
49%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
20%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 0
HER
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
POR
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 2
POR
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAX
12%
19%
70%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 1
JAC
88%
9%
3%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
TUB
1 - 0
CAX
12%
18%
70%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 3
HER
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |