Herlev vs KFUM Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
KAS
3 - 1
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TAA
2 - 2
HER
34%
22%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
VAN
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
3 - 2
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
KFUM Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
KFU
2 - 1
VAN
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 1
KFU
25%
20%
55%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
KFU
1 - 2
HIL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KFU
6 - 0
KAL
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
STE
2 - 2
KFU
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |