Herlev vs Kastrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
TAA
69%
16%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
HVI
16%
21%
64%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 2
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
LSF
0 - 2
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
SOL
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KAS
0 - 2
VAN
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 1
KAS
42%
25%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
VEJ
1 - 0
KAS
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
KAS
0 - 0
GRE
19%
21%
60%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
KAS
3 - 0
FRE
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |