Hergiswil vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
HER
3 - 3
LUZ
54%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LSS
4 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
SAR
5 - 2
HER
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 6
EMM
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
4 - 2
FCS
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
EMM
2 - 3
AAR
39%
24%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 2
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 1
AAR
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
6 - 4
AAR
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |