Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATB
1 - 0
HER
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
MLL
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PXD
1 - 0
HER
20%
28%
52%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
SDF
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
HER
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
MLL
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SDF
1 - 1
VAL
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CDE
1 - 0
VAL
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 3
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |