Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
ATH
2 - 1
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1980 |
RMC
4 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
HER
1 - 0
UDL
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1980 |
HER
4 - 1
RMC
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
ATM
2 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
VCF
0 - 0
RSO
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
SLA
1 - 1
VCF
36%
29%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
VCF
2 - 0
RMA
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
VCF
2 - 2
BET
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ZAR
1 - 1
VCF
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |