Hércules vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.8%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.2%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
HER
5 - 0
LOR
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
CFC
1 - 1
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
HER
6 - 0
VIJ
90%
7%
3%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
IMP
1 - 1
HER
37%
23%
40%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
HER
2 - 1
ALB
86%
9%
5%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
RAY
1 - 1
ELD
29%
23%
49%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
LOR
0 - 1
RAY
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
RAY
1 - 0
CFC
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
VIJ
1 - 5
RAY
89%
7%
4%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
RAY
0 - 1
IMP
54%
20%
26%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |