Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MLL
1 - 2
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
GRA
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
CDB
0 - 2
HER
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1953 |
HER
1 - 1
AVI
73%
15%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1953 |
DEP
3 - 1
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAS
80%
13%
8%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
CAS
4 - 0
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
CAS
2 - 2
LEV
47%
22%
31%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |