Hércules vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 4
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
ORI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
HOS
0 - 1
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 0
NOV
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
GRA
0 - 0
BUR
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
HOS
1 - 1
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 0
SAB
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
LLE
0 - 1
BUR
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |