Hércules vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
MUR
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
UDL
0 - 0
HER
29%
28%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
HUE
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
ELC
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 3
VCF
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 2
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 2
RAC
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 2
ALM
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |