Hércules vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
LEV
1 - 2
HER
50%
21%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
HER
1 - 0
MLL
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
MEL
4 - 1
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
HER
1 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
RCD
0 - 0
HER
57%
20%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1951 |
PUL
1 - 0
SLA
61%
19%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1951 |
VAL
5 - 0
PUL
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
PUL
1 - 0
ALC
54%
21%
25%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
CAR
2 - 3
PUL
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1951 |
PUL
2 - 3
MAL
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |