Hércules B vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
16º
57
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 59% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
LEV
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
ATZ
20%
25%
56%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 1
HER
46%
25%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
PCF
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 0
VIL
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ATZ
0 - 0
ORI
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 1
GAN
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PCF
1 - 0
ORI
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |