Hercílio Luz vs CFZ Imbituba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
HER
61%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
1 - 0
HER
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
HER
2 - 4
BRU
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
TUB
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ECB
1 - 0
IMB
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
IMB
1 - 0
BRU
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
IMB
3 - 1
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
IMB
2 - 2
XVO
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CAC
2 - 1
IMB
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |