Hercílio Luz vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
HER
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
HER
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
CRI
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 1
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
CRI
10%
21%
69%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 0
CAC
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |