Hercílio Luz vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIT
2 - 1
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
TUB
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
3 - 1
POR
66%
18%
17%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAC
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAC
0 - 1
LIT
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TUB
0 - 0
CAC
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |