Hercílio Luz vs Camboriú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
2 - 1
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MAF
0 - 2
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
HER
3 - 0
BLU
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 1
JUV
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 2
CAM
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BRU
1 - 1
CAM
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
TUB
0 - 3
CAM
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |