Hercílio Luz vs Barra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
CRI
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
HER
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Barra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
AVA
8%
19%
73%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAC
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
CRI
10%
21%
69%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |