Hendon vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEN
2 - 0
BAS
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HEN
3 - 3
HAN
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TIV
2 - 4
HEN
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
HEN
1 - 1
BRA
7%
15%
78%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFT
1 - 1
HEN
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
YEL
1 - 2
STA
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
YEL
1 - 1
LEI
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MIC
5 - 0
YEL
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HIT
3 - 0
YEL
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
YEL
1 - 1
ROY
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |