Henares DIV vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henares DIV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SDH
1 - 9
HEN
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HEN
8 - 2
FTO
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 2
HEN
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HEN
4 - 1
SHO
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NPI
0 - 1
HEN
58%
20%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SFN
0 - 0
DAG
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SFN
5 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SFN
1 - 0
CDS
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
JUS
5 - 2
SFN
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SFN
7 - 0
SAG
84%
12%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |