Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1904 |
PAR
2 - 1
HOM
26%
22%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1904 |
HOM
0 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1904 |
GLA
1 - 1
HOM
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1904 |
AIR
3 - 2
HOM
23%
22%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1904 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
58%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1904 |
STM
1 - 2
TLA
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1904 |
STM
1 - 1
DUN
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1904 |
GLA
2 - 3
STM
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1904 |
STM
1 - 0
GRE
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1904 |
STM
2 - 3
CEL
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |