Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1891 |
HOM
2 - 2
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1891 |
HOM
0 - 1
GLA
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1890 |
HOM
8 - 1
VOL
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1890 |
HOM
4 - 0
COW
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1890 |
DUM
3 - 1
HOM
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1891 |
CEL
3 - 2
STM
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1891 |
ABE
5 - 1
STM
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1890 |
TLA
5 - 3
STM
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1890 |
STM
1 - 1
VOL
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1890 |
GLA
8 - 2
STM
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |