Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 0
PAR
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 0
ICT
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
STJ
1 - 1
ROS
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
STJ
1 - 0
ICT
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
STJ
1 - 2
PAR
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 1
STJ
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
STJ
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |