Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 1
MHE
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 3
GLA
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 2
HOM
66%
20%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
STJ
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MHE
5 - 1
STJ
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STJ
0 - 2
DUN
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
STJ
0 - 0
ICT
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
STJ
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |