Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1939 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
28%
21%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1939 |
HOM
2 - 0
AYR
75%
13%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1939 |
ARB
1 - 1
HOM
21%
19%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
HOM
0 - 1
HIB
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1939 |
STJ
3 - 1
QOS
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
STJ
0 - 2
HAM
52%
19%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1939 |
CLY
3 - 1
STJ
53%
21%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
RAI
5 - 6
STJ
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
STJ
1 - 3
KIL
59%
18%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |